pm-warroom

Extract every hidden assumption from a plan or document and put a price on each one — what it costs if wrong, what it costs to test. Use before committing to anything whose author says 'obviously' or whose spreadsheet has hardcoded cells: the bounty hunt makes the invisible load-bearing beliefs explicit and tells you which three to test this week. Produces the assumption ledger (priced and ranked), the cheapest test for each dangerous one, and the document's honest confidence statement.

Judge a past decision by its PROCESS, not its outcome — because good decisions lose and bad decisions win, and teams that can't tell the difference learn the wrong lessons. Use when reviewing a big call after the fact (a bet that failed, a pass that haunts, a hire, a pivot) and the room is about to conclude 'it failed so it was wrong.' Produces a process-forensics report: what was knowable then, the quality grade of the decision as-made, the luck accounting, and the ONE process change worth keeping.

The strongest possible case AGAINST what you just wrote — argued to win, not to check a box. Use when a document is about to ship and everyone around it already agrees: the twin writes the opposition's best memo (not a critique of yours), so you meet the real counter-argument before your audience does. Produces the opposing memo, the map of which of your claims it defeats/dents/leaves standing, and the pre-emption paragraph worth adding.

Find out how a dashboard, KPI report, or metrics slide is lying to you — before you repeat its story in a bigger room. Use when numbers feel too tidy, a narrative rests on one chart, or you inherited metrics you didn't define. Produces a deception audit: every metric graded for the eleven classic distortions (denominator games, survivorship, y-axis crimes, cherry-picked windows…), the story the data would tell under honest framing, and the three questions to ask the metric's owner.

Kill the plan on paper before reality does it for money. Use when a plan, launch, migration, or strategy is about to be committed to and nobody has tried hard to murder it yet — the assassin attacks through twelve named failure vectors and writes the post-mortem of the failure that hasn't happened. Produces a premortem: the death narrative, the twelve-vector attack with survival verdicts, the three kill-shots most likely to land, and the cheap tripwires that would give early warning.